Polish Ekstraklasa, round 10 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Stadion Miejski
Piast Gliwice — Widzew Łódź
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:1Came true
In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Piast Gliwice to win (42%), came true.
Piast Gliwice are slightly stronger: 42% against 27%, draw 31%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Widzew Łódź: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Piast Gliwice 0 wins, Widzew Łódź 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Piast Gliwice — Widzew Łódź What is xG? | 1.4–1.1 | |
| Piast Gliwice not to lose | 73% | |
| Widzew Łódź not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Piast Gliwice
- Piast Gliwice goals
- Widzew Łódź goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 20.09Pogoń Szczecin1:2
- 14.09away · Radomiak Radom2:0
- 04.09GKS Katowice3:0
- 29.08away · Motor Lublin2:0
- 22.08Legia Warszawa1:1
- 18.09Wieczysta Kraków2:2
- 13.09away · Legia Warszawa1:1
- 05.09Radomiak Radom0:0
- 30.08Lech Poznań2:3
- 22.08away · Śląsk Wrocław3:3
Head to head
- 23.05.2026Widzew Łódź — Piast Gliwice2:1
- 28.11.2025Piast Gliwice — Widzew Łódź0:2
- 28.03.2025Piast Gliwice — Widzew Łódź0:2
- 21.09.2024Widzew Łódź — Piast Gliwice1:0
- 07.04.2024Widzew Łódź — Piast Gliwice1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wisła Kraków | 10 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Wisła Płock | 9 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Łódź | 10 | 1 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
Next matches
- Widzew ŁódźWisła Kraków16 October · Ekstraklasa373033XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.6
- Górnik ZabrzePiast Gliwice18 October · Ekstraklasa5626171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
Ekstraklasa on the same day
- 5028221The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.9
- 5027221The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →