Serie B, round 7 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Pisa — Cremonese

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Model prediction for 17 October

Pisa50%
Draw27%
Cremonese23%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Pisa are clear favourites: 50% against 23% for the opponent, draw 27%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 57%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Pisa are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Pisa — Cremonese What is xG?1.7–1.1
Pisa not to lose77%
Cremonese not to lose50%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes57%
Both teams to score: no43%
Total over 2.553%
Total under 2.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Pisa
  • Pisa goals
  • Cremonese goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Pisa

  • 10.10away · LR Vicenza3:0
  • 20.09away · Mantova2:2
  • 15.09away · Fiorentina0:3
  • 11.09Virtus Entella1:4
  • 06.09away · Juve Stabia3:0

Cremonese

  • 10.10away · Arezzo0:0
  • 19.09Virtus Entella0:0
  • 12.09away · Cesena2:2
  • 06.09Padova3:1
  • 01.09away · Parma2:0

Head to head

  • 10.05.2026Cremonese — Pisa3:0
  • 07.11.2025Pisa — Cremonese1:0
  • 13.05.2025Pisa — Cremonese2:1
  • 03.11.2024Cremonese — Pisa1:3
  • 01.05.2024Cremonese — Pisa2:1

Full record: 9 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6, Promotion play-offsAvellino631211–7+410
7, Promotion play-offsPisa631211–8+310
8, Promotion play-offsBenevento63128–5+310
13Virtus Entella61328–7+16
14Cremonese61325–7-26
15Juve Stabia61325–8-36

Season 2026/27

Full table

Serie B on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
  • XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
  • XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.3
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →