Ukrainian Premier League, round 9 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Polissya Zhytomyr — Dynamo Kyiv
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In short
Polissya Zhytomyr are slightly stronger: 38% against 31%, draw 30%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Dynamo Kyiv are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Polissya Zhytomyr — Dynamo Kyiv What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Polissya Zhytomyr not to lose | 69% | |
| Dynamo Kyiv not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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- Handicap Polissya Zhytomyr
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- Dynamo Kyiv goals
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Form
- 11.10away · Bukovyna Chernivtsi2:2
- 18.09Kryvbas1:0
- 13.09Liviy Bereh1:0
- 04.09Kudrivka5:1
- 29.08away · Shakhtar Donetsk2:0
- 11.10Karpaty1:0
- 19.09away · Zorya2:0
- 14.09Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi3:0
- 06.09LNZ Cherkasy0:0
- 31.08away · Bukovyna Chernivtsi0:3
Head to head
- 08.03.2026Polissya Zhytomyr — Dynamo Kyiv1:2
- 31.08.2025Dynamo Kyiv — Polissya Zhytomyr4:1
- 09.05.2025Polissya Zhytomyr — Dynamo Kyiv0:0
- 10.11.2024Dynamo Kyiv — Polissya Zhytomyr2:1
- 21.04.2024Dynamo Kyiv — Polissya Zhytomyr3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | Shakhtar Donetsk | 8 | 7 | +14 | 21 |
| 2, Europa League or Conference League | Polissya Zhytomyr | 8 | 6 | +10 | 19 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Dynamo Kyiv | 7 | 5 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Kharkiv | 7 | 5 | +9 | 15 |
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- 363133XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.3
- 6224141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →