La Liga, round 8 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
Racing Santander — Valencia
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In short
Final score 2:2: the model's most likely outcome, Racing Santander to win (39%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 39% fails in about 61 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Racing Santander 39%, Valencia 32%, draw 29%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Racing Santander — Valencia What is xG? | 1.6–1.5 | |
| Racing Santander not to lose | 68% | |
| Valencia not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Racing Santander
- Racing Santander goals
- Valencia goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 19.09away · Celta Vigo0:5
- 16.09away · Barcelona2:7
- 12.09Deportivo Alavés2:1
- 05.09away · Rayo Vallecano2:3
- 28.08Elche3:2
- 20.09Real Sociedad2:3
- 15.09away · Deportivo Alavés1:0
- 11.09away · Sevilla0:1
- 06.09Barcelona0:5
- 30.08away · Deportivo A Coruña1:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
Next matches
- ValenciaAthletic Club17 October · La Liga383131XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.3
- OsasunaRacing Santander18 October · La Liga5125241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
La Liga on the same day
- 333037XThe most likely outcome came true: X0:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:1.2.6
- 5626181The most likely outcome came true: 13:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.4
- 5627171The most likely outcome came true: 15:2Final score 5:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →