Nigeria NPFL, round 8 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK
Ranchers Bees — Niger Tornadoes
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Ranchers Bees to win (63%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 63% fails in about 37 matches out of 100 on average.
Ranchers Bees are clear favourites: 63% against 14% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 40%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Ranchers Bees are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ranchers Bees — Niger Tornadoes What is xG? | 1.7–0.7 | |
| Ranchers Bees not to lose | 86% | |
| Niger Tornadoes not to lose | 37% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
91 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Ranchers Bees
- Ranchers Bees goals
- Niger Tornadoes goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 04.10away · Kwara United1:2
- 28.09Rivers United FC0:0
- 23.09away · Enugu Rangers0:1
- 19.09Bendel Insurance2:1
- 13.09away · Barau1:3
- 04.10Kun Khalifat1:0
- 27.09away · Nasarawa United0:1
- 23.09Warri Wolves FC0:0
- 19.09away · Katsina United0:1
- 14.09Plateau United1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warri Wolves FC | 8 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Niger Tornadoes | 8 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Abia Warriors | 8 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Ranchers Bees | 8 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 | Shooting Stars | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
Next matches
- Shooting StarsRanchers Bees18 October · Nigeria NPFL5825171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- Niger TornadoesIkorodu City18 October · Nigeria NPFL4929221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- 6522131The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →