Danish Superliga, round 12 · Friday, 23 October, MSK

Randers FC — Brøndby IF

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Model prediction for 23 October

Randers FC32%
Draw30%
Brøndby IF38%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Randers FC 32%, Brøndby IF 38%, draw 30%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 61%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • League table: Randers FC — No. 8, 10 pts; Brøndby IF — No. 5, 16 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
  • Randers FC: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Randers FC 1 win, Brøndby IF 2, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Randers FC — Brøndby IF What is xG?1.4–1.5
Randers FC not to lose62%
Brøndby IF not to lose68%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes61%
Both teams to score: no39%
Total over 2.556%
Total under 2.544%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Randers FC
  • Randers FC goals
  • Brøndby IF goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Randers FC

  • 11.10Viborg0:2
  • 20.09away · Sønderjyske2:4
  • 13.09OB1:2
  • 06.09away · Brøndby IF3:0
  • 30.08AGF2:1

Brøndby IF

  • 11.10Lyngby5:2
  • 20.09FC København0:1
  • 14.09away · FC Midtjylland1:4
  • 06.09Randers FC0:3
  • 30.08away · Nordsjælland1:3

Head to head

  • 06.09.2026Brøndby IF — Randers FC0:3
  • 08.02.2026Brøndby IF — Randers FC0:0
  • 17.08.2025Randers FC — Brøndby IF0:2
  • 25.04.2025Randers FC — Brøndby IF0:0
  • 21.04.2025Brøndby IF — Randers FC4:3

Full record: 17 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
4, Championship roundNordsjælland1053214–10+418
5, Championship roundBrøndby IF1051417–17016
6, Championship roundAC Horsens1033418–19-112
7, Relegation roundSilkeborg1025315–15011
8, Relegation roundRanders FC1031611–16-510
9, Relegation roundOB102448–14-610

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →