Scottish Premiership, round 8 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Ibrox Stadium
Rangers — Kilmarnock
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:1Came true
In short
Final score 3:1: the model's most likely outcome, Rangers to win (82%), came true.
Rangers are clear favourites: 82% against 6% for the opponent, draw 12%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 72%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rangers are about 1.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rangers — Kilmarnock What is xG? | 2.8–0.8 | |
| Rangers not to lose | 94% | |
| Kilmarnock not to lose | 18% | |
| No draw | 88% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 72% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 28% |
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Form
- 20.09away · Celtic1:0
- 09.09St. Mirren1:0
- 05.09Motherwell1:0
- 02.09away · Falkirk2:1
- 30.08away · Aberdeen1:0
- 19.09Heart of Midlothian1:1
- 15.09away · Hibernian1:0
- 05.09away · Aberdeen0:0
- 02.09St. Mirren0:1
- 29.08Dundee United0:4
Head to head
- 04.02.2026Rangers — Kilmarnock5:1
- 06.12.2025Kilmarnock — Rangers0:3
- 26.10.2025Rangers — Kilmarnock3:1
- 26.02.2025Kilmarnock — Rangers2:4
- 04.12.2024Rangers — Kilmarnock6:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | Celtic | 8 | 7 | +12 | 21 |
| 2, Championship round | Rangers | 8 | 6 | +6 | 19 |
| 3, Championship round | Heart of Midlothian | 8 | 5 | +11 | 16 |
| 11, Relegation round | Falkirk | 8 | 1 | -4 | 6 |
| 12, Relegation round | Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | -11 | 5 |
Next matches
- KilmarnockMotherwell17 October · Scottish Premiership3128412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- Dundee FCRangers17 October · Scottish Premiership1423632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.1
Scottish Premiership on the same day
- 3129392The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 0:1.2.8
- 5724191The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 5726171The most likely outcome came true: 15:0Final score 5:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 82% will not happen in roughly 18 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →