Scottish Premiership, round 8 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park
Dundee United — Hibernian
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Hibernian to win (39%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 39% fails in about 61 matches out of 100 on average.
Hibernian are slightly stronger: 39% against 31%, draw 29%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Hibernian are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dundee United — Hibernian What is xG? | 1.3–1.5 | |
| Dundee United not to lose | 61% | |
| Hibernian not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Dundee United
- Dundee United goals
- Hibernian goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 19.09away · St. Mirren3:0
- 05.09Falkirk1:1
- 02.09away · Motherwell0:3
- 29.08away · Kilmarnock4:0
- 22.08Dundee FC0:2
- 19.09Aberdeen1:1
- 15.09Kilmarnock0:1
- 06.09away · St. Johnstone1:2
- 03.09Heart of Midlothian1:3
- 30.08away · Dundee FC2:1
Head to head
- 04.02.2026Hibernian — Dundee United3:2
- 20.12.2025Dundee United — Hibernian1:1
- 13.09.2025Hibernian — Dundee United3:3
- 03.05.2025Hibernian — Dundee United3:1
- 26.02.2025Dundee United — Hibernian1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Championship round | St. Johnstone | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 6, Championship round | Dundee United | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 7, Relegation round | St. Mirren | 8 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 9, Relegation round | Motherwell | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 10, Relegation round | Hibernian | 8 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 11, Relegation round | Falkirk | 8 | 1 | -4 | 6 |
Next matches
- St. JohnstoneDundee United17 October · Scottish Premiership3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- HibernianFalkirk17 October · Scottish Premiership4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
Scottish Premiership on the same day
- 5724191The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 5726171The most likely outcome came true: 15:0Final score 5:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.4
- 821261The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 3:0.3.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →