Scottish Premiership, round 10 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Rangers — St. Johnstone
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rangers are clear favourites: 79% against 7% for the opponent, draw 14%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rangers are about 1.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rangers — St. Johnstone What is xG? | 2.5–0.8 | |
| Rangers not to lose | 93% | |
| St. Johnstone not to lose | 21% | |
| No draw | 86% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
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Form
- 10.10Kilmarnock3:1
- 20.09away · Celtic1:0
- 09.09St. Mirren1:0
- 05.09Motherwell1:0
- 02.09away · Falkirk2:1
- 11.10away · Aberdeen1:0
- 19.09Falkirk1:1
- 09.09Celtic0:1
- 06.09Hibernian2:1
- 02.09away · Dundee FC1:1
Head to head
- 12.01.2025Rangers — St. Johnstone3:1
- 01.12.2024St. Johnstone — Rangers0:1
- 06.10.2024Rangers — St. Johnstone2:0
- 18.02.2024St. Johnstone — Rangers0:3
- 20.12.2023Rangers — St. Johnstone2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | Celtic | 8 | 7 | +12 | 21 |
| 2, Championship round | Rangers | 8 | 6 | +6 | 19 |
| 3, Championship round | Heart of Midlothian | 8 | 5 | +11 | 16 |
| 4, Championship round | Dundee FC | 8 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 5, Championship round | St. Johnstone | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 6, Championship round | Dundee United | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
Scottish Premiership on the same day
- Dundee UnitedAberdeenpreliminary4827251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- FalkirkKilmarnockpreliminary5324221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- St. MirrenDundee FCpreliminary4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →