La Liga, round 9 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Real Betis — Barcelona
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Barcelona are clear favourites: 66% against 12% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 71%, both teams to score — 69%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Barcelona are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Real Betis — No. 3, 19 pts; Barcelona — No. 1, 24 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Real Betis: unbeaten in 5; Barcelona: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Real Betis 0 wins, Barcelona 3, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Real Betis 6, Barcelona 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Real Betis — Barcelona What is xG? | 1.2–2.4 | |
| Real Betis not to lose | 34% | |
| Barcelona not to lose | 88% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 31% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 71% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 29% |
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Form
- 11.10Osasuna5:2
- 20.09away · Deportivo A Coruña1:1
- 17.09Getafe1:0
- 14.09away · Villarreal2:1
- 08.09away · Lille3:2
- 13.10away · Galatasaray4:1
- 10.10Getafe3:0
- 19.09away · Sevilla3:1
- 16.09Racing Santander7:2
- 13.09away · Levante4:2
Head to head
- 17.05.2026Barcelona — Real Betis3:1
- 06.12.2025Real Betis — Barcelona3:5
- 05.04.2025Barcelona — Real Betis1:1
- 15.01.2025Barcelona — Real Betis5:1
- 07.12.2024Real Betis — Barcelona2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Barcelona | 8 | 8 | +27 | 24 |
| 2, Champions League | Atlético Madrid | 8 | 6 | +10 | 19 |
| 3, Champions League | Real Betis | 8 | 6 | +5 | 19 |
| 4, Champions League | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | +11 | 18 |
La Liga on the same day
- 2227522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- 7318101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
- 2831412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →