Copa del Rey · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

Ribadesella CF — Racing Santander

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Model prediction for 29 October

Ribadesella CF8%
Draw16%
Racing Santander76%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Racing Santander are clear favourites: 76% against 8% for the opponent, draw 16%.

3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Racing Santander are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Ribadesella CF — Racing Santander What is xG?0.8–2.5
Ribadesella CF not to lose24%
Racing Santander not to lose92%
No draw84%
Both teams to score: yes49%
Both teams to score: no51%
Total over 2.564%
Total under 2.536%

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  • Handicap Ribadesella CF
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Form

Ribadesella CF

No past matches in the data yet.

Racing Santander

  • 11.10Valencia2:2
  • 19.09away · Celta Vigo0:5
  • 16.09away · Barcelona2:7
  • 12.09Deportivo Alavés2:1
  • 05.09away · Rayo Vallecano2:3

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Copa del Rey on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →