Serie A, round 9 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Roma — Cagliari
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Roma are clear favourites: 70% against 10% for the opponent, draw 21%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Roma are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Roma — Cagliari What is xG? | 2.0–0.8 | |
| Roma not to lose | 90% | |
| Cagliari not to lose | 30% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Roma
- Roma goals
- Cagliari goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Juventus1:1
- 19.09away · Udinese1:0
- 12.09away · Atalanta2:1
- 07.09Lecce1:0
- 03.09Hellas Verona1:2
Head to head
- 09.02.2026Roma — Cagliari2:0
- 07.12.2025Cagliari — Roma1:0
- 16.03.2025Roma — Cagliari1:0
- 18.08.2024Cagliari — Roma0:0
- 05.02.2024Roma — Cagliari4:0
Table
Serie A on the same day
- SassuoloLaziopreliminary2930412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
- TorinoComopreliminary2028522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →