Serie A, round 9 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Sassuolo — Lazio
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Lazio are slightly stronger: 41% against 29%, draw 30%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Lazio are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sassuolo — Lazio What is xG? | 1.2–1.4 | |
| Sassuolo not to lose | 59% | |
| Lazio not to lose | 71% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sassuolo
- Sassuolo goals
- Lazio goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
Head to head
- 09.03.2026Lazio — Sassuolo2:1
- 14.09.2025Sassuolo — Lazio1:0
- 26.05.2024Lazio — Sassuolo1:1
- 21.10.2023Sassuolo — Lazio0:2
- 03.05.2023Lazio — Sassuolo2:0
Table
Serie A on the same day
- RomaCagliaripreliminary7021101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- TorinoComopreliminary2028522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →