Belgian Pro League, round 9 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Royal Antwerp — Sporting Charleroi
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sporting Charleroi are slightly stronger: 41% against 31%, draw 28%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sporting Charleroi are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Royal Antwerp — No. 13, 7 pts; Sporting Charleroi — No. 3, 21 pts. A gap of 14 pts.
- Royal Antwerp: 5 defeats in a row; Sporting Charleroi: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Royal Antwerp 0 wins, Sporting Charleroi 4, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Royal Antwerp — Sporting Charleroi What is xG? | 1.3–1.5 | |
| Royal Antwerp not to lose | 59% | |
| Sporting Charleroi not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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- Handicap Royal Antwerp
- Royal Antwerp goals
- Sporting Charleroi goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Westerlo1:5
- 20.09Union St.Gilloise0:2
- 13.09away · Club Brugge1:3
- 05.09away · Standard Liège0:1
- 30.08St.Truiden1:4
- 11.10away · Standard Liège1:0
- 19.09Cercle Brugge3:2
- 13.09away · Zulte Waregem1:0
- 05.09Union St.Gilloise2:3
- 29.08away · Kortrijk3:1
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Royal Antwerp — Sporting Charleroi0:1
- 10.04.2026Sporting Charleroi — Royal Antwerp2:1
- 25.01.2026Royal Antwerp — Sporting Charleroi0:2
- 17.08.2025Sporting Charleroi — Royal Antwerp1:1
- 29.05.2025Royal Antwerp — Sporting Charleroi1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Club Brugge | 8 | 7 | +15 | 21 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Sporting Charleroi | 8 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Union St.Gilloise | 8 | 6 | +18 | 20 |
| 12 | St.Truiden | 8 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Royal Antwerp | 8 | 2 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 8 | 1 | -8 | 6 |
Belgian Pro League on the same day
- OH LeuvenLommelpreliminary4829231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- RAAL La LouvièreZulte Waregempreliminary3428382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
- WesterloSK Beverenpreliminary5422231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →