Botola Pro (Morocco), round 4 · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Berkane Municipal Stadium
RS Berkane — Renaissance Club Zemamra
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In short
Final score 2:2: the model's most likely outcome, RS Berkane to win (62%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 62% fails in about 38 matches out of 100 on average.
RS Berkane are clear favourites: 62% against 13% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 42%.
Why
- By the strength ratings RS Berkane are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- RS Berkane: unbeaten in 4; Renaissance Club Zemamra: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: RS Berkane 4 wins, Renaissance Club Zemamra 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: RS Berkane — Renaissance Club Zemamra What is xG? | 1.6–0.7 | |
| RS Berkane not to lose | 87% | |
| Renaissance Club Zemamra not to lose | 38% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 58% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap RS Berkane
- RS Berkane goals
- Renaissance Club Zemamra goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 08.10away · Union Touarga Sport0:0
- 27.09away · MAT Tetouan0:0
- 05.07away · Difaâ El Jadida3:1
- 02.07Wydad Casablanca2:0
- 28.06away · FUS Rabat1:2
- 08.10Hassania Agadir2:5
- 03.10away · Raja Casablanca0:1
- 27.09away · MAS Fès1:2
- 05.07away · FAR Rabat0:0
- 02.07FUS Rabat1:1
Head to head
- 24.05.2026RS Berkane — Renaissance Club Zemamra1:0
- 18.02.2026Renaissance Club Zemamra — RS Berkane1:2
- 16.02.2025RS Berkane — Renaissance Club Zemamra1:0
- 18.10.2024Renaissance Club Zemamra — RS Berkane1:3
- 13.06.2024RS Berkane — Renaissance Club Zemamra1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Widad Temara | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | RS Berkane | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | MAT Tetouan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 15, Relegation | FUS Rabat | 4 | 0 | -2 | 2 |
| 16, Relegation | Renaissance Club Zemamra | 4 | 0 | -5 | 1 |
Botola Pro on the same day
- 2532432The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:1.1.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →