International Friendlies · Saturday, 3 October, MSK · Ekaterinburg Arena
Russia — Namibia
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
6:0Came true
In short
Final score 6:0: the model's most likely outcome, Russia to win (87%), came true.
Russia are clear favourites: 87% against 2% for the opponent, draw 11%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 27%.
Why
- National-team Elo: Russia 1782, Namibia 1306 — Russia clearly rated higher.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Russia — Namibia What is xG? | 2.7–0.3 | |
| Russia not to lose | 98% | |
| Namibia not to lose | 13% | |
| No draw | 89% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 27% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 73% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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Form
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Next match
- RussiaNigeria6 October · International Friendlies5527181The most likely outcome did not happen: 13:3Final score 3:3. Model's score: 3:0.2.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 87% will not happen in roughly 13 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →