French Ligue 2, round 10 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Saint-Étienne — Nantes
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Saint-Étienne are clear favourites: 60% against 16% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Saint-Étienne are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Saint-Étienne — Nantes What is xG? | 1.6–0.8 | |
| Saint-Étienne not to lose | 84% | |
| Nantes not to lose | 40% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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Form
- 10.10Rodez2:0
- 19.09away · Metz2:2
- 12.09away · Dunkerque1:2
- 05.09Montpellier3:1
- 31.08away · Dijon3:2
- 10.10Reims0:0
- 19.09away · Boulogne2:1
- 12.09away · Sochaux0:1
- 07.09Nancy1:0
- 29.08away · Guingamp3:3
Head to head
- 19.01.2025Saint-Étienne — Nantes1:1
- 29.09.2024Nantes — Saint-Étienne2:2
- 21.05.2022Nantes — Saint-Étienne1:1
- 22.12.2021Saint-Étienne — Nantes0:1
- 03.02.2021Saint-Étienne — Nantes1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Promotion | Saint-Étienne | 8 | 6 | +13 | 19 |
| 2, Promotion | Red Star | 8 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 8 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Nantes | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Grenoble | 8 | 2 | -5 | 8 |
Ligue 2 on the same day
- DijonRodezpreliminary4026341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.9
- MontpellierRed Starpreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →