Austrian Bundesliga, round 9 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Salzburg — Altach
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Salzburg are clear favourites: 73% against 8% for the opponent, draw 19%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Salzburg are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Salzburg — No. 2, 18 pts; Altach — No. 11, 6 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
- Salzburg: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Salzburg 2 wins, Altach 0, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Salzburg — Altach What is xG? | 2.1–0.7 | |
| Salzburg not to lose | 92% | |
| Altach not to lose | 27% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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- Handicap Salzburg
- Salzburg goals
- Altach goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10away · Grazer AK0:0
- 20.09Sturm Graz3:0
- 17.09away · Levski Sofia1:0
- 11.09away · Ried1:1
- 02.09Rapid Wien5:1
- 11.10Wolfsberger AC3:0
- 19.09away · Austria Lustenau0:2
- 12.09Grazer AK1:2
- 29.08away · LASK0:3
- 22.08Hartberg1:2
Head to head
- 30.11.2025Altach — Salzburg1:1
- 19.10.2025Salzburg — Altach2:2
- 09.03.2025Altach — Salzburg1:1
- 19.10.2024Salzburg — Altach2:1
- 28.10.2023Salzburg — Altach3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | Rapid Wien | 8 | 7 | +16 | 21 |
| 2, Championship round | Salzburg | 8 | 5 | +14 | 18 |
| 3, Championship round | LASK | 8 | 5 | +10 | 16 |
| 10, Relegation round | Austria Wien | 8 | 2 | -8 | 7 |
| 11, Relegation round | Altach | 8 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
| 12, Relegation round | Wolfsberger AC | 8 | 1 | -9 | 5 |
Austrian Bundesliga on the same day
- 3930311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →