Serie B, round 7 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Sampdoria — Arezzo

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Model prediction for 18 October

Sampdoria48%
Draw28%
Arezzo24%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Sampdoria are clear favourites: 48% against 24% for the opponent, draw 28%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 48%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Sampdoria — Arezzo What is xG?1.4–0.9
Sampdoria not to lose76%
Arezzo not to lose52%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes48%
Both teams to score: no52%
Total over 2.542%
Total under 2.558%

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  • Handicap Sampdoria
  • Sampdoria goals
  • Arezzo goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Sampdoria

  • 09.10away · Avellino1:4
  • 19.09Catanzaro2:1
  • 13.09away · Mantova0:2
  • 07.09away · Palermo1:3
  • 29.08Juve Stabia1:2

Arezzo

  • 10.10Cremonese0:0
  • 20.09Südtirol1:4
  • 11.09away · Empoli1:0
  • 06.09away · Hellas Verona0:5
  • 30.08Palermo2:3

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
11Padova62135–8-37
12Arezzo62136–13-77
13Virtus Entella61328–7+16
18, RelegationCarrarese61144–6-24
19, RelegationSampdoria61146–13-74
20, RelegationCatanzaro61056–12-63

Season 2026/27

Full table

Serie B on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →