Serie B, round 7 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Juve Stabia — Südtirol

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Model prediction for 18 October

Juve Stabia46%
Draw30%
Südtirol24%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Juve Stabia are clear favourites: 46% against 24% for the opponent, draw 30%.

The model expects few goals: 2.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.

Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 42%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Juve Stabia are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Juve Stabia — Südtirol What is xG?1.3–0.8
Juve Stabia not to lose76%
Südtirol not to lose54%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes42%
Both teams to score: no58%
Total over 2.535%
Total under 2.565%

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  • Handicap Juve Stabia
  • Juve Stabia goals
  • Südtirol goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Juve Stabia

  • 10.10away · Virtus Entella1:1
  • 18.09Cesena1:1
  • 12.09away · LR Vicenza1:1
  • 06.09Pisa0:3
  • 29.08away · Sampdoria2:1

Südtirol

  • 10.10Ascoli0:0
  • 20.09away · Arezzo4:1
  • 15.09away · Genoa0:1
  • 12.09Modena1:1
  • 05.09Catanzaro2:0

Head to head

  • 08.05.2026Südtirol — Juve Stabia1:1
  • 27.12.2025Juve Stabia — Südtirol1:0
  • 27.04.2025Südtirol — Juve Stabia2:0
  • 06.12.2024Juve Stabia — Südtirol2:1

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
3, Promotion play-offsModena641111–6+513
4, Promotion play-offsSüdtirol63309–3+612
5, Promotion play-offsAscoli63217–4+311
14Cremonese61325–7-26
15Juve Stabia61325–8-36
16, Relegation play-offEmpoli62046–10-46

Season 2026/27

Full table

Serie B on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →