Copa del Rey · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

San Sebastian de los Reyes — CD Coria

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Model prediction for 29 October

San Sebastian de los Reyes42%
Draw26%
CD Coria31%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

San Sebastian de los Reyes are slightly stronger: 42% against 31%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings San Sebastian de los Reyes are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: San Sebastian de los Reyes — CD Coria What is xG?1.5–1.3
San Sebastian de los Reyes not to lose69%
CD Coria not to lose58%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap San Sebastian de los Reyes
  • San Sebastian de los Reyes goals
  • CD Coria goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

San Sebastian de los Reyes

  • 30.10Almería1:2
  • 14.12Fuenlabrada0:0
  • 01.12away · San Juan2:1
  • 12.01Espanyol0:2
  • 18.12Córdoba2:0

CD Coria

  • 30.10Elche0:3
  • 21.12Real Sociedad0:5
  • 12.11Fuenlabrada2:0
  • 15.12Real Oviedo2:3

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Copa del Rey on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →