Norwegian Eliteserien, round 24 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Sandefjord — Lillestrøm
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Evenly matched: Sandefjord 39%, Lillestrøm 32%, draw 29%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sandefjord — Lillestrøm What is xG? | 1.6–1.5 | |
| Sandefjord not to lose | 68% | |
| Lillestrøm not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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- Lillestrøm goals
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Form
Head to head
- 16.05.2026Lillestrøm — Sandefjord3:1
- 23.11.2024Lillestrøm — Sandefjord0:3
- 21.04.2024Sandefjord — Lillestrøm0:1
- 03.12.2023Sandefjord — Lillestrøm1:0
- 16.07.2023Lillestrøm — Sandefjord4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | +9 | 34 |
| 6 | Lillestrøm | 22 | 10 | -1 | 33 |
| 7 | Brann | 22 | 9 | +5 | 29 |
| 11 | Hamarkameratene | 22 | 7 | -13 | 26 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 22 | 6 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Vålerenga | 22 | 6 | -10 | 23 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- 3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- 3427392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.5
- 7018121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.7
- 6422141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →