Norwegian Eliteserien, round 24 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Molde — Start
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Molde are clear favourites: 70% against 12% for the opponent, draw 18%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 71%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Molde are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Molde — Start What is xG? | 2.6–1.1 | |
| Molde not to lose | 88% | |
| Start not to lose | 30% | |
| No draw | 82% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 71% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 29% |
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Form
- 11.10away · Lillestrøm2:2
- 19.09Aalesund1:2
- 13.09away · Hamarkameratene5:1
- 06.09KFUM2:0
- 30.08away · Vålerenga4:3
- 11.10Hamarkameratene2:4
- 20.09away · Sandefjord0:3
- 13.09Brann2:0
- 04.09away · Aalesund0:2
- 30.08KFUM4:1
Head to head
- 19.04.2026Start — Molde1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Tromsø | 22 | 11 | +11 | 39 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Molde | 22 | 11 | +12 | 37 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | +9 | 34 |
| 15, Relegation | Kristiansund | 22 | 5 | -21 | 19 |
| 16, Relegation | Start | 22 | 4 | -24 | 16 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- 3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- 3427392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.5
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 6422141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →