Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Santa Fe — Bucaramanga
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Santa Fe are clear favourites: 52% against 20% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Santa Fe are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Santa Fe — Bucaramanga What is xG? | 1.5–0.9 | |
| Santa Fe not to lose | 80% | |
| Bucaramanga not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
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- Bucaramanga goals
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Form
- 06.10away · Independiente Medellín1:0
- 29.09away · Deportivo Pereira2:1
- 23.09Deportivo Cali0:1
- 20.09away · Alianza FC4:1
- 16.09away · Vasco da Gama0:2
- 14.10Águilas Doradas1:1
- 05.10Junior FC3:1
- 26.09away · Once Caldas3:1
- 21.09Internacional de Bogotá2:0
- 18.09Independiente Medellín2:2
Head to head
- 28.03.2026Bucaramanga — Santa Fe1:2
- 09.12.2025Santa Fe — Bucaramanga0:0
- 20.11.2025Bucaramanga — Santa Fe1:0
- 10.08.2025Bucaramanga — Santa Fe2:1
- 20.03.2025Santa Fe — Bucaramanga1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Semi-final groups | Deportivo Cali | 13 | 7 | +11 | 25 |
| 3, Semi-final groups | Bucaramanga | 12 | 6 | +10 | 24 |
| 4, Semi-final groups | Atlético Nacional | 11 | 7 | +11 | 23 |
| 5, Semi-final groups | Independiente Medellín | 13 | 7 | +4 | 23 |
| 6, Semi-final groups | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | +7 | 22 |
| 7, Semi-final groups | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | +7 | 22 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- CD JaguaresLlaneros FCpreliminary353035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →