Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
CD Jaguares — Llaneros FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: CD Jaguares 35%, Llaneros FC 35%, draw 30%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Llaneros FC are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: CD Jaguares — No. 18, 10 pts; Llaneros FC — No. 12, 14 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Llaneros FC: 3 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CD Jaguares — Llaneros FC What is xG? | 1.3–1.3 | |
| CD Jaguares not to lose | 65% | |
| Llaneros FC not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap CD Jaguares
- CD Jaguares goals
- Llaneros FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Tolima3:2
- 03.10away · Águilas Doradas0:2
- 28.09Alianza FC1:2
- 23.09away · Independiente Medellín1:2
- 12.09Fortaleza FC2:2
- 10.10away · Once Caldas0:1
- 05.10América de Cali1:2
- 27.09away · Cúcuta1:2
- 21.09Atlético Nacional2:0
- 13.09away · Internacional de Bogotá2:3
Head to head
- 10.03.2026Llaneros FC — CD Jaguares2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 13 | 3 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Llaneros FC | 13 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogotá | 14 | 2 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Junior FC | 12 | 2 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 | CD Jaguares | 12 | 2 | -8 | 10 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 12 | 2 | -9 | 9 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- Santa FeBucaramangapreliminary5227201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →