Sarmiento — Barracas Central
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
In short
Sarmiento are slightly stronger: 42% against 27%, draw 31%.
1.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 31%, both teams to score — 39%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sarmiento — Barracas Central What is xG? | 1.1–0.8 | |
| Sarmiento not to lose | 73% | |
| Barracas Central not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 61% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 31% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 69% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sarmiento
- Sarmiento goals
- Barracas Central goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 09.10away · Aldosivi3:1
- 19.09away · Racing Club1:3
- 13.09Belgrano1:1
- 04.09away · Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:0
- 29.08away · Unión1:4
- 10.10Huracán2:0
- 03.10away · Atlético Tucumán3:2
- 22.09Independiente Rivadavia0:1
- 15.09away · Banfield1:1
- 08.09Argentinos Juniors0:0
Head to head
- 02.04.2026Barracas Central — Sarmiento1:2
- 20.09.2025Barracas Central — Sarmiento0:1
- 09.03.2025Sarmiento — Barracas Central1:1
- 19.05.2024Barracas Central — Sarmiento1:1
- 04.02.2023Sarmiento — Barracas Central3:5
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 5129211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- 393228XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →