Argentine Liga Profesional · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK

Sarmiento — Barracas Central

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 20 October

Sarmiento42%
Draw31%
Barracas Central27%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Sarmiento are slightly stronger: 42% against 27%, draw 31%.

1.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 31%, both teams to score — 39%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Sarmiento — Barracas Central What is xG?1.1–0.8
Sarmiento not to lose73%
Barracas Central not to lose58%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes39%
Both teams to score: no61%
Total over 2.531%
Total under 2.569%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Sarmiento
  • Sarmiento goals
  • Barracas Central goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Sarmiento

  • 09.10away · Aldosivi3:1
  • 19.09away · Racing Club1:3
  • 13.09Belgrano1:1
  • 04.09away · Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:0
  • 29.08away · Unión1:4

Barracas Central

  • 10.10Huracán2:0
  • 03.10away · Atlético Tucumán3:2
  • 22.09Independiente Rivadavia0:1
  • 15.09away · Banfield1:1
  • 08.09Argentinos Juniors0:0

Head to head

  • 02.04.2026Barracas Central — Sarmiento1:2
  • 20.09.2025Barracas Central — Sarmiento0:1
  • 09.03.2025Sarmiento — Barracas Central1:1
  • 19.05.2024Barracas Central — Sarmiento1:1
  • 04.02.2023Sarmiento — Barracas Central3:5

Full record: 6 meetings →

Liga Profesional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →