Argentine Liga Profesional · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK

Deportivo Riestra — Unión

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Model prediction for 20 October

Deportivo Riestra44%
Draw32%
Unión24%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Deportivo Riestra are slightly stronger: 44% against 24%, draw 32%.

2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 33%, both teams to score — 41%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • Deportivo Riestra: winless in 5; Unión: 4 defeats in a row.
  • Last 2 meetings: Deportivo Riestra 0 wins, Unión 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Deportivo Riestra — Unión What is xG?1.1–0.8
Deportivo Riestra not to lose76%
Unión not to lose56%
No draw68%
Both teams to score: yes41%
Both teams to score: no59%
Total over 2.533%
Total under 2.567%

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Form

Deportivo Riestra

  • 11.10away · San Lorenzo0:1
  • 05.10Central Córdoba de Santiago1:1
  • 19.09away · Gimnasia Mendoza0:0
  • 15.09Lanús0:3
  • 10.09Banfield1:1

Unión

  • 10.10Defensa y Justicia0:2
  • 03.10away · Boca Juniors0:3
  • 19.09Independiente1:2
  • 13.09away · Talleres1:2
  • 08.09Instituto3:2

Head to head

  • 03.04.2026Unión — Deportivo Riestra2:0
  • 31.08.2024Unión — Deportivo Riestra0:0

Liga Profesional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →