Turkish Cup, round 3 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Sarıyer — Ayvalikgücü Belediyespor
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Sarıyer 39%, Ayvalikgücü Belediyespor 35%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sarıyer — Ayvalikgücü Belediyespor What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Sarıyer not to lose | 65% | |
| Ayvalikgücü Belediyespor not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sarıyer
- Sarıyer goals
- Ayvalikgücü Belediyespor goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.12away · İstanbulspor0:6
- 28.10away · 52 Orduspor2:0
- 04.12away · Fatih Karagümrük0:3
- 29.10Niğde Belediyesi Spor1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Turkish Cup on the same day
- SakaryasporBursa Yıldırımsporpreliminary3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- ElazığsporErciyes 38preliminary4127331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Kastamonuspor 196624 Erzincansporpreliminary3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Etimesgut Spor KulubuGaziantep FKpreliminary1420662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- Ağrı 1970 Sporİstanbulsporpreliminary1421652The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- BalıkesirsporArnavutköy Belediyesporpreliminary3827361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- FethiyesporEyüpsporpreliminary1923582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- DüzcesporIsparta 32 Sporpreliminary4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →