Serie A, round 10 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Sassuolo — Fiorentina
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Sassuolo 35%, Fiorentina 33%, draw 32%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Sassuolo — No. 11, 8 pts; Fiorentina — No. 19, 4 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Sassuolo 2 wins, Fiorentina 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sassuolo — Fiorentina What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Sassuolo not to lose | 67% | |
| Fiorentina not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sassuolo
- Sassuolo goals
- Fiorentina goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
Head to head
- 26.04.2026Fiorentina — Sassuolo0:0
- 06.12.2025Sassuolo — Fiorentina3:1
- 28.04.2024Fiorentina — Sassuolo5:1
- 06.01.2024Sassuolo — Fiorentina1:0
- 02.06.2023Sassuolo — Fiorentina1:3
Table
Serie A on the same day
- AtalantaParmapreliminary6424131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →