La Liga, round 10 · Monday, 26 October, MSK
Sevilla — Osasuna
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sevilla are slightly stronger: 45% against 25%, draw 30%.
The model expects few goals: 2.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sevilla are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sevilla — Osasuna What is xG? | 1.4–1.0 | |
| Sevilla not to lose | 75% | |
| Osasuna not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sevilla
- Sevilla goals
- Osasuna goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Levante3:3
- 19.09Barcelona1:3
- 16.09away · Deportivo A Coruña1:0
- 11.09Valencia1:0
- 06.09away · Espanyol1:1
- 11.10away · Real Betis2:5
- 19.09Rayo Vallecano1:1
- 16.09away · Atlético Madrid0:4
- 12.09Espanyol0:2
- 06.09away · Deportivo Alavés2:5
Head to head
- 26.04.2026Osasuna — Sevilla2:1
- 08.11.2025Sevilla — Osasuna1:0
- 24.04.2025Osasuna — Sevilla1:0
- 02.12.2024Sevilla — Osasuna1:1
- 28.01.2024Sevilla — Osasuna1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Champions League | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | +11 | 18 |
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 6, Europa League or Conference League | Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Levante | 7 | 1 | -4 | 6 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →