Turkish Cup, round 3 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Silivrispor — Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı Futbol Kulubu

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Model prediction for 27 October

Silivrispor34%
Draw27%
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı Futbol Kulubu39%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Silivrispor 34%, Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı Futbol Kulubu 39%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Silivrispor — Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı Futbol Kulubu What is xG?1.3–1.4
Silivrispor not to lose61%
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı Futbol Kulubu not to lose66%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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  • Silivrispor goals
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Form

Silivrispor

  • 05.12away · Rizespor2:3
  • 30.10Kayserispor4:2

Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı Futbol Kulubu

  • 04.03Kocaelispor1:0
  • 03.02away · Rizespor1:1
  • 14.01Fenerbahçe0:1
  • 24.12away · Keçiörengücü1:3
  • 03.12Göztepe1:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Turkish Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →