Swiss Super League, round 11 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Sion — Lausanne
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sion are clear favourites: 57% against 18% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.4.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sion are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sion — Lausanne What is xG? | 1.8–1.0 | |
| Sion not to lose | 82% | |
| Lausanne not to lose | 43% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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Form
- 10.10away · Servette0:3
- 19.09FC Zürich1:1
- 15.09away · Grasshopper5:2
- 12.09away · St. Gallen3:0
- 06.09Thun3:2
- 11.10away · St. Gallen0:1
- 20.09Lugano0:4
- 13.09Servette0:1
- 05.09away · FC Vaduz1:3
- 02.09away · Thun0:0
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Sion — Lausanne3:0
- 09.11.2025Lausanne — Sion2:2
- 28.09.2025Sion — Lausanne0:0
- 05.04.2025Lausanne — Sion2:0
- 23.11.2024Lausanne — Sion1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Championship round | Young Boys | 10 | 6 | +15 | 22 |
| 3, Championship round | Sion | 10 | 6 | +6 | 19 |
| 4, Championship round | St. Gallen | 10 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 11, Relegation round | Grasshopper | 10 | 2 | -13 | 8 |
| 12, Relegation round | Lausanne | 10 | 1 | -9 | 6 |
Swiss Super League on the same day
- ThunLuganopreliminary2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- BaselGrasshopperpreliminary6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →