Belgian Pro League, round 10 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
SK Beveren — Union St.Gilloise
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Union St.Gilloise are clear favourites: 68% against 11% for the opponent, draw 21%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Union St.Gilloise are about 1.6 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: SK Beveren — No. 11, 9 pts; Union St.Gilloise — No. 4, 20 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
- Union St.Gilloise: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: SK Beveren — Union St.Gilloise What is xG? | 0.8–2.2 | |
| SK Beveren not to lose | 32% | |
| Union St.Gilloise not to lose | 89% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap SK Beveren
- SK Beveren goals
- Union St.Gilloise goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 09.10Lommel1:3
- 20.09away · Kortrijk0:1
- 12.09St.Truiden2:0
- 06.09OH Leuven3:0
- 28.08away · Genk0:4
- 11.10OH Leuven1:1
- 20.09away · Royal Antwerp2:0
- 17.09away · Viktoria Plzeň3:0
- 12.09Lommel5:0
- 05.09away · Sporting Charleroi3:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Sporting Charleroi | 8 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Union St.Gilloise | 8 | 6 | +18 | 20 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 8 | 5 | +3 | 16 |
| 10 | Lommel | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | SK Beveren | 8 | 3 | -6 | 9 |
| 12 | St.Truiden | 8 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
Belgian Pro League on the same day
- KV MechelenGenkpreliminary3229392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- Standard LiègeKortrijkpreliminary6024151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- AnderlechtWesterlopreliminary5924171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →