Danish Superliga, round 11 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Sønderjyske — Silkeborg

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Model prediction for 18 October

Sønderjyske43%
Draw28%
Silkeborg30%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Sønderjyske are slightly stronger: 43% against 30%, draw 28%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 64%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Sønderjyske — Silkeborg What is xG?1.7–1.4
Sønderjyske not to lose70%
Silkeborg not to lose57%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes64%
Both teams to score: no36%
Total over 2.560%
Total under 2.540%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Sønderjyske
  • Sønderjyske goals
  • Silkeborg goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Sønderjyske

  • 12.10away · AGF0:3
  • 20.09Randers FC4:2
  • 13.09away · Lyngby1:1
  • 06.09AC Horsens2:5
  • 31.08away · FC København1:3

Silkeborg

  • 11.10AC Horsens3:3
  • 18.09away · Lyngby4:0
  • 13.09Viborg1:1
  • 05.09away · AGF2:2
  • 30.08FC Midtjylland1:1

Head to head

  • 16.02.2026Sønderjyske — Silkeborg2:1
  • 31.08.2025Silkeborg — Sønderjyske0:2
  • 11.05.2025Silkeborg — Sønderjyske1:0
  • 30.03.2025Sønderjyske — Silkeborg2:1
  • 02.03.2025Sønderjyske — Silkeborg1:3

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6, Championship roundAC Horsens1033418–19-112
7, Relegation roundSilkeborg1025315–15011
8, Relegation roundRanders FC1031611–16-510
11, Relegation roundLyngby1014512–21-97
12, Relegation roundSønderjyske1012712–24-125

Season 2026/27

Full table

Danish Superliga on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →