Russian Cup, round 5 · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Spartak Moscow — Rubin Kazan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Spartak Moscow are clear favourites: 67% against 13% for the opponent, draw 20%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Spartak Moscow are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Rubin Kazan: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Spartak Moscow 3 wins, Rubin Kazan 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Spartak Moscow — Rubin Kazan What is xG? | 2.2–0.9 | |
| Spartak Moscow not to lose | 87% | |
| Rubin Kazan not to lose | 33% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow goals
- Rubin Kazan goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Krylya Sovetov Samara1:1
- 16.09Fakel1:0
- 13.09FC Rostov3:0
- 06.09away · Dinamo Moscow1:2
- 02.09Rodina3:1
- 11.10Dinamo Moscow0:1
- 16.09away · Rodina1:1
- 12.09away · CSKA Moscow1:1
- 07.09FK Akhmat1:1
- 02.09away · FC Orenburg1:1
Head to head
- 19.08.2026Rubin Kazan — Spartak Moscow1:1
- 11.05.2026Spartak Moscow — Rubin Kazan2:1
- 23.08.2025Rubin Kazan — Spartak Moscow0:2
- 09.03.2025Rubin Kazan — Spartak Moscow2:1
- 31.08.2024Spartak Moscow — Rubin Kazan1:0
Russian Cup on the same day
- FC OrenburgRodinapreliminary5225241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- FC RostovAkron Togliattipreliminary5325231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →