Peruvian Liga 1 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Sport Boys — FC Cajamarca
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sport Boys are clear favourites: 50% against 24% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sport Boys — FC Cajamarca What is xG? | 1.7–1.1 | |
| Sport Boys not to lose | 76% | |
| FC Cajamarca not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sport Boys
- Sport Boys goals
- FC Cajamarca goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10Alianza Atlético1:3
- 20.09away · FBC Melgar1:1
- 13.09Deportivo Garcilaso1:0
- 05.09away · Sport Huancayo1:2
- 30.08Sporting Cristal1:0
- 10.10away · Asociación Deportiva Tarma0:0
- 19.09Cusco FC1:2
- 12.09away · Los Chankas2:1
- 04.09Cienciano2:5
- 28.08away · Comerciantes Unidos3:2
Head to head
- 02.05.2026FC Cajamarca — Sport Boys3:2
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- Universitario de DeportesADC Juan Pablo IIpreliminary761591The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
- Comerciantes UnidosCiencianopreliminary3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Club Deportivo MoqueguaAlianza Limapreliminary1727562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →