Peruvian Liga 1 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Sport Huancayo — FBC Melgar
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FBC Melgar are slightly stronger: 42% against 30%, draw 28%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FBC Melgar are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Sport Huancayo: 5 wins in a row; FBC Melgar: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Sport Huancayo 0 wins, FBC Melgar 4, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sport Huancayo — FBC Melgar What is xG? | 1.3–1.5 | |
| Sport Huancayo not to lose | 58% | |
| FBC Melgar not to lose | 70% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sport Huancayo
- Sport Huancayo goals
- FBC Melgar goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Deportivo Garcilaso1:0
- 20.09CD UT Cajamarca3:2
- 12.09away · Comerciantes Unidos1:0
- 05.09Sport Boys2:1
- 30.08away · Asociación Deportiva Tarma3:1
- 11.10away · Universitario de Deportes2:2
- 20.09Sport Boys1:1
- 12.09away · Cusco FC1:0
- 07.09Asociación Deportiva Tarma3:0
- 01.09away · Atlético Grau0:1
Head to head
- 16.05.2026FBC Melgar — Sport Huancayo4:1
- 27.10.2025FBC Melgar — Sport Huancayo2:0
- 21.06.2025Sport Huancayo — FBC Melgar2:2
- 27.10.2024Sport Huancayo — FBC Melgar2:4
- 19.05.2024FBC Melgar — Sport Huancayo4:1
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- CD UT CajamarcaDeportivo Garcilasopreliminary2127522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
- Sporting CristalFC Cajamarcapreliminary7415111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →