Peruvian Liga 1 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Sporting Cristal — FC Cajamarca
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sporting Cristal are clear favourites: 74% against 11% for the opponent, draw 15%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sporting Cristal are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Sporting Cristal: 4 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sporting Cristal — FC Cajamarca What is xG? | 2.7–1.0 | |
| Sporting Cristal not to lose | 89% | |
| FC Cajamarca not to lose | 26% | |
| No draw | 85% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 66% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 34% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sporting Cristal
- Sporting Cristal goals
- FC Cajamarca goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · CD UT Cajamarca1:0
- 19.09Atlético Grau3:1
- 13.09away · Club Deportivo Moquegua2:1
- 06.09Los Chankas5:0
- 30.08away · Sport Boys0:1
- 10.10away · Asociación Deportiva Tarma0:0
- 19.09Cusco FC1:2
- 12.09away · Los Chankas2:1
- 04.09Cienciano2:5
- 28.08away · Comerciantes Unidos3:2
Head to head
- 15.05.2026FC Cajamarca — Sporting Cristal3:1
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- Sport HuancayoFBC Melgarpreliminary3028422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- CD UT CajamarcaDeportivo Garcilasopreliminary2127522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →