Copa del Rey · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Sporting Hortaleza — Sevilla
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sevilla are clear favourites: 82% against 6% for the opponent, draw 12%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.5 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 68%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sevilla are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sporting Hortaleza — Sevilla What is xG? | 0.7–2.9 | |
| Sporting Hortaleza not to lose | 18% | |
| Sevilla not to lose | 94% | |
| No draw | 88% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 68% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 32% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sporting Hortaleza
- Sporting Hortaleza goals
- Sevilla goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
- 12.10away · Levante3:3
- 19.09Barcelona1:3
- 16.09away · Deportivo A Coruña1:0
- 11.09Valencia1:0
- 06.09away · Espanyol1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- Atletico CalatayudOsasunapreliminary714802The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:43.4
- Atlético BalearesEldensepreliminary2425512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- UB LebrijanaGetafepreliminary613802The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
- San Sebastian de los ReyesCD Coriapreliminary4226311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- AntequeraCDA Águilas FCpreliminary3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- ConquenseCastellónpreliminary816762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- GuijueloSporting Gijónpreliminary1118712The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- CD LaredoBurgos CFpreliminary815772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:43.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 82% will not happen in roughly 18 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →