Paraguayan Primera Division · Tuesday, 6 October, MSK · Estadio Ameliano Villeta
Sportivo Ameliano — Rubio Ñú
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In short
Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Sportivo Ameliano to win (59%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 59% fails in about 41 matches out of 100 on average.
Sportivo Ameliano are clear favourites: 59% against 15% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 43%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sportivo Ameliano are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sportivo Ameliano — Rubio Ñú What is xG? | 1.6–0.7 | |
| Sportivo Ameliano not to lose | 85% | |
| Rubio Ñú not to lose | 41% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sportivo Ameliano
- Sportivo Ameliano goals
- Rubio Ñú goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 26.09away · Nacional (PAR)1:1
- 19.09away · Libertad1:1
- 11.09Sportivo San Lorenzo1:0
- 07.09away · Luqueño2:1
- 02.09Sportivo Trinidense0:3
- 26.092 de Mayo2:2
- 20.09away · Cerro Porteño0:1
- 14.09Nacional (PAR)0:1
- 06.09away · Libertad2:4
- 01.09Sportivo San Lorenzo3:1
Head to head
- 28.07.2026Rubio Ñú — Sportivo Ameliano1:1
- 24.03.2026Rubio Ñú — Sportivo Ameliano1:2
- 26.01.2026Sportivo Ameliano — Rubio Ñú2:2
Next matches
- Rubio ÑúOlimpia11 October · Paraguayan Primera1726572The most likely outcome did not happen: 20:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 0:1.2.6
- 2 de MayoSportivo Ameliano12 October · Paraguayan Primera363232XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X1:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 0:0.2.2
Paraguayan Primera on the same day
- 6224141The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →