Belgian Pro League, round 10 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Standard Liège — Kortrijk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Standard Liège are clear favourites: 60% against 15% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Standard Liège are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Standard Liège — No. 9, 11 pts; Kortrijk — No. 18, 3 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Standard Liège: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Standard Liège 1 win, Kortrijk 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Standard Liège — Kortrijk What is xG? | 1.8–0.9 | |
| Standard Liège not to lose | 85% | |
| Kortrijk not to lose | 40% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Standard Liège
- Standard Liège goals
- Kortrijk goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Sporting Charleroi0:1
- 18.09away · Gent1:2
- 12.09away · Westerlo2:4
- 05.09Royal Antwerp1:0
- 29.08away · OH Leuven2:1
- 10.10away · Genk0:3
- 20.09SK Beveren1:0
- 13.09away · RAAL La Louvière0:3
- 06.09Zulte Waregem0:2
- 03.09away · Anderlecht0:1
Head to head
- 10.01.2025Standard Liège — Kortrijk1:0
- 18.08.2024Kortrijk — Standard Liège1:0
- 20.01.2024Standard Liège — Kortrijk0:1
- 26.08.2023Kortrijk — Standard Liège1:1
- 12.02.2023Standard Liège — Kortrijk0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Zulte Waregem | 8 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Standard Liège | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Lommel | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 17, Relegation | Cercle Brugge | 8 | 0 | -7 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation | Kortrijk | 8 | 1 | -16 | 3 |
Belgian Pro League on the same day
- KV MechelenGenkpreliminary3229392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- AnderlechtWesterlopreliminary5924171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- SK BeverenUnion St.Gilloisepreliminary1121682The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →