Uzbekistan Super League, round 24 · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Surkhon-2011 — Xorazm
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Surkhon-2011 are slightly stronger: 44% against 24%, draw 32%.
The model expects few goals: 1.6 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 23%, both teams to score — 30%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Surkhon-2011 — Xorazm What is xG? | 1.0–0.7 | |
| Surkhon-2011 not to lose | 76% | |
| Xorazm not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 30% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 70% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 23% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 77% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Surkhon-2011
- Surkhon-2011 goals
- Xorazm goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Qizilqum Zarafshon0:0
- 20.09Kokand 19121:0
- 09.09away · Neftchi Fargona1:2
- 04.09away · Bunyodkor Tashkent1:0
- 25.08AGMK0:0
- 07.10away · Neftchi Fargona2:2
- 21.09Qizilqum Zarafshon1:3
- 10.09Sogdiana0:0
- 03.09away · AGMK0:1
- 25.08away · Andijon0:1
Head to head
- 28.07.2026Xorazm — Surkhon-20111:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sogdiana | 23 | 8 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 | Surkhon-2011 | 23 | 7 | -9 | 27 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm | 23 | 5 | -14 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor Tashkent | 23 | 7 | -16 | 22 |
Uzbekistan Super League on the same day
- 3526392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.7
- 1824582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →