Uzbekistan Super League, round 24 · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Bunyodkor Tashkent — Sogdiana
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Evenly matched: Bunyodkor Tashkent 35%, Sogdiana 39%, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 71%, both teams to score — 73%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sogdiana are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bunyodkor Tashkent — Sogdiana What is xG? | 1.8–1.9 | |
| Bunyodkor Tashkent not to lose | 61% | |
| Sogdiana not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 27% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 71% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 29% |
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- Handicap Bunyodkor Tashkent
- Bunyodkor Tashkent goals
- Sogdiana goals
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Form
- 09.10away · Pakhtakor Tashkent1:3
- 19.09Buxoro2:1
- 09.09away · Nasaf Qarshi0:3
- 04.09Surkhon-20110:1
- 26.08away · Lokomotiv Tashkent1:4
- 11.10Lokomotiv Tashkent2:3
- 20.09AGMK1:2
- 10.09away · Xorazm0:0
- 05.09Mashal Muborak5:2
- 23.08away · Neftchi Fargona0:3
Head to head
- 19.04.2026Sogdiana — Bunyodkor Tashkent2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Qizilqum Zarafshon | 23 | 9 | -7 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 23 | 8 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 | Surkhon-2011 | 23 | 7 | -9 | 27 |
| 14 | Xorazm | 23 | 5 | -14 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor Tashkent | 23 | 7 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | -36 | 4 |
Uzbekistan Super League on the same day
- 1824582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- 4432241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →