A-League Men (Australia), round 2 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Sydney FC — Adelaide United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sydney FC are slightly stronger: 42% against 31%, draw 27%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Sydney FC 2 wins, Adelaide United 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sydney FC — Adelaide United What is xG? | 1.7–1.4 | |
| Sydney FC not to lose | 69% | |
| Adelaide United not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sydney FC
- Sydney FC goals
- Adelaide United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 23.05away · Auckland FC0:1
- 16.05away · Newcastle Jets1:1
- 09.05Newcastle Jets1:1
- 02.05away · Melbourne Victory1:0
- 26.04Auckland FC2:2
- 15.05Auckland FC0:3
- 09.05away · Auckland FC1:1
- 26.04away · Melbourne City FC2:1
- 19.04Macarthur FC3:1
- 11.04away · Newcastle Jets1:1
Head to head
- 14.02.2026Sydney FC — Adelaide United1:2
- 17.10.2025Adelaide United — Sydney FC2:1
- 05.04.2025Adelaide United — Sydney FC2:3
- 01.02.2025Sydney FC — Adelaide United4:1
- 20.12.2024Adelaide United — Sydney FC3:3
A-League on the same day
- Wellington PhoenixCentral Coast Marinerspreliminary4626271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →