A-League Men (Australia), round 1 · Friday, 16 October, MSK · Allianz Stadium
Sydney FC — Western Sydney Wanderers FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Sydney FC are slightly stronger: 45% against 27%, draw 28%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sydney FC are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Sydney FC 3 wins, Western Sydney Wanderers FC 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sydney FC — Western Sydney Wanderers FC What is xG? | 1.6–1.3 | |
| Sydney FC not to lose | 73% | |
| Western Sydney Wanderers FC not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sydney FC
- Sydney FC goals
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 23.05away · Auckland FC0:1
- 16.05away · Newcastle Jets1:1
- 09.05Newcastle Jets1:1
- 02.05away · Melbourne Victory1:0
- 26.04Auckland FC2:2
- 25.04Melbourne Victory0:2
- 18.04away · Wellington Phoenix1:2
- 11.04Sydney FC0:2
- 04.04away · Melbourne City FC0:3
- 20.03Adelaide United2:4
Head to head
- 11.04.2026Western Sydney Wanderers FC — Sydney FC0:2
- 31.01.2026Sydney FC — Western Sydney Wanderers FC4:1
- 29.11.2025Western Sydney Wanderers FC — Sydney FC1:0
- 08.02.2025Sydney FC — Western Sydney Wanderers FC3:3
- 23.11.2024Sydney FC — Western Sydney Wanderers FC4:2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →