Segunda Division, round 9 · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz
Tenerife — Girona
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:1Came true
In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (30%), came true.
Evenly matched: Tenerife 33%, Girona 37%, draw 30%.
The model expects few goals: 2.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Girona are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tenerife — Girona What is xG? | 1.1–1.1 | |
| Tenerife not to lose | 63% | |
| Girona not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
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- Handicap Tenerife
- Tenerife goals
- Girona goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 05.10away · Córdoba2:3
- 26.09Cádiz1:1
- 19.09away · Castellón0:5
- 13.09Leganés2:0
- 05.09away · Real Sociedad B1:1
- 04.10Mallorca0:0
- 25.09Albacete2:0
- 19.09away · Cádiz2:1
- 12.09Castellón1:2
- 05.09away · Sporting Gijón2:0
Head to head
- 19.06.2022Tenerife — Girona1:3
- 11.06.2022Girona — Tenerife0:0
- 09.05.2022Girona — Tenerife0:1
- 08.11.2021Tenerife — Girona2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Promotion play-offs | Sporting Gijón | 9 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 | Girona | 9 | 4 | +6 | 15 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 | Real Valladolid | 9 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 9 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Celta Fortuna | 9 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
Next matches
- GironaFC Andorra18 October · Segunda Division4628271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Celta FortunaTenerife19 October · Segunda Division5127221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
Segunda Division on the same day
- 5127221The most likely outcome came true: 15:0Final score 5:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.5
- 4430261The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
- 4428281The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →