Segunda Division, round 9 · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Estadio Municipal Carlos Tartiere
Real Oviedo — Eibar
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:1Came true
In short
Final score 3:1: the model's most likely outcome, Real Oviedo to win (44%), came true.
Real Oviedo are slightly stronger: 44% against 28%, draw 28%.
The model expects few goals: 2.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Real Oviedo are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Real Oviedo — Eibar What is xG? | 1.2–0.9 | |
| Real Oviedo not to lose | 72% | |
| Eibar not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Real Oviedo
- Real Oviedo goals
- Eibar goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 02.10away · Eldense1:4
- 27.09Sporting Gijón2:0
- 20.09away · Sabadell1:3
- 13.09away · Real Valladolid3:0
- 06.09Burgos CF0:0
- 03.10away · Albacete3:1
- 27.09Las Palmas3:2
- 19.09away · Eldense2:1
- 14.09away · Celta Fortuna4:0
- 06.09Granada3:0
Head to head
- 05.04.2025Eibar — Real Oviedo1:1
- 29.09.2024Real Oviedo — Eibar1:0
- 12.06.2024Eibar — Real Oviedo0:2
- 08.06.2024Real Oviedo — Eibar0:0
- 02.06.2024Eibar — Real Oviedo4:3
Table
Next matches
- EibarMallorca17 October · Segunda Division4630241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
- AD Ceuta FCReal Oviedo18 October · Segunda Division2829442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
Segunda Division on the same day
- 5127221The most likely outcome came true: 15:0Final score 5:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.5
- 4430261The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
- 333037XThe most likely outcome came true: X1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:1, exactly right.2.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →