Serie A, round 9 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Torino — Como

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Model prediction for 27 October

Torino20%
Draw28%
Como52%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Como are clear favourites: 52% against 20% for the opponent, draw 28%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 51%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Como are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Torino — Como What is xG?0.9–1.5
Torino not to lose48%
Como not to lose80%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes51%
Both teams to score: no49%
Total over 2.545%
Total under 2.555%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Torino
  • Torino goals
  • Como goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Torino

  • 12.10Udinese2:1
  • 19.09away · Bologna1:1
  • 14.09Roma0:2
  • 05.09away · Fiorentina2:1
  • 01.09Monza0:1

Como

  • 11.10Roma0:0
  • 20.09away · Frosinone0:2
  • 14.09Parma2:1
  • 10.09RB Leipzig4:1
  • 04.09away · Genoa4:1

Head to head

  • 24.01.2026Como — Torino6:0
  • 24.11.2025Torino — Como1:5
  • 13.04.2025Como — Torino1:0
  • 25.10.2024Torino — Como1:0

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6, Europa League or Conference LeagueJuventus63219–5+411
7Como63219–6+311
8Napoli631210–6+410
11Sassuolo622210–1008
12Torino62137–9-27
13Lecce62046–12-66

Season 2026/27

Full table

Serie A on the same day

  • SassuoloLaziopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
  • RomaCagliaripreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →