Turkish Super Lig, round 8 · Monday, 19 October, 20:00 MSK

Trabzonspor — Beşiktaş

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Model prediction for 19 October

Trabzonspor35%

Draw30%

Beşiktaş35%

Model estimate at 19:09 MSK

In short

Evenly matched: Trabzonspor 35%, Beşiktaş 35%, draw 30%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.

Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 66%.

Why

By the strength ratings Beşiktaş are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Facts

League table: Trabzonspor — No. 5, 13 pts; Beşiktaş — No. 2, 15 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
Last 5 meetings: Trabzonspor 1 win, Beşiktaş 2, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Trabzonspor — Beşiktaş What is xG?		1.5–1.6
Trabzonspor not to lose		65%
Beşiktaş not to lose		65%
No draw		70%
Both teams to score: yes		66%
Both teams to score: no		34%
Total over 2.5		60%
Total under 2.5		40%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor goals
Beşiktaş goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Form

Trabzonspor

10.10away · Samsunspor3:0
19.09Galatasaray4:0
12.09away · Konyaspor0:1
06.09Gençlerbirliği5:0
31.08away · Amed Sportif1:2

Beşiktaş

11.10Kocaelispor2:1
20.09away · Amed Sportif2:3
17.09Marseille4:1
11.09Erzurumspor FK3:0
05.09away · Fenerbahçe2:1

Head to head

09.05.2026Beşiktaş — Trabzonspor1:2
14.12.2025Trabzonspor — Beşiktaş3:3
15.02.2025Beşiktaş — Trabzonspor2:1
15.09.2024Trabzonspor — Beşiktaş1:1
04.02.2024Beşiktaş — Trabzonspor2:0

Full record: 20 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1, Champions League	Galatasaray	7	5	1	1	16–11	+5	16
2, Champions League qualifying	Beşiktaş	7	5	0	2	16–8	+8	15
3, Europa League or Conference League	Amed Sportif	7	4	2	1	17–9	+8	14
4, Europa League or Conference League	Fenerbahçe	7	4	1	2	19–6	+13	13
5	Trabzonspor	7	4	1	2	16–5	+11	13
6	Alanyaspor	7	3	3	1	8–6	+2	12

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →