Argentine Liga Profesional · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Estadio 15 de Abril
Unión — Defensa y Justicia
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0:2Missed
In short
Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Unión to win (45%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 45% fails in about 55 matches out of 100 on average.
Unión are slightly stronger: 45% against 27%, draw 28%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.5 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Unión are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Unión — Defensa y Justicia What is xG? | 1.4–1.1 | |
| Unión not to lose | 73% | |
| Defensa y Justicia not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Unión
- Unión goals
- Defensa y Justicia goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.10away · Boca Juniors0:3
- 19.09Independiente1:2
- 13.09away · Talleres1:2
- 08.09Instituto3:2
- 29.08Sarmiento4:1
- 03.10San Lorenzo3:0
- 19.09away · Central Córdoba de Santiago2:2
- 12.09Gimnasia Mendoza2:0
- 06.09away · Lanús0:1
- 01.09Club Atlético Platense1:0
Head to head
- 21.03.2026Defensa y Justicia — Unión2:0
- 22.10.2025Unión — Defensa y Justicia3:0
- 15.04.2025Defensa y Justicia — Unión0:0
- 15.12.2024Defensa y Justicia — Unión0:0
- 28.07.2023Unión — Defensa y Justicia2:0
Next matches
- Defensa y JusticiaInstituto17 October · Liga Profesional353134XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.2
- Deportivo RiestraUnión20 October · Liga Profesional393228XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.8
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 4630231The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.2
- 4230281The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.2
- 363331XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X2:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:1.1.8
- 323237XThe most likely outcome came true: X2:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 0:0.2.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →